Key Takeaways
- Settlement Offers Certainty: A settlement guarantees a known amount on a known timeline. A trial verdict could be higher—or could be zero. The right choice depends on your risk tolerance, financial situation, and case strength.
- Lowball Offers Should Be Rejected: Insurance companies often start with offers far below fair value, hoping you'll accept out of desperation. Patience and willingness to litigate typically produce better outcomes.
- Your Attorney Should Give Honest Assessments: A good lawyer tells you the strengths and weaknesses of your case, not just what you want to hear. The decision to settle or try the case is ultimately yours, but informed by realistic analysis.
At some point in nearly every personal injury case, a decision must be made: accept the settlement offer on the table or proceed to trial. This is not a decision to make lightly. A settlement provides certainty—money you can count on, a timeline you can plan around, closure you can rely on. A trial offers the possibility of a larger verdict, but also the risk of losing everything. There is no formula that tells you the right answer. The decision depends on your specific circumstances: the strength of your evidence, the severity of your injuries, your financial needs, your emotional readiness, and your tolerance for risk. This article walks through how to think about that choice.
Why Most Cases Settle
Approximately 95% of personal injury cases settle before trial. This isn't because injured plaintiffs are giving up or accepting unfair deals—it's because settlement serves legitimate interests on both sides.
For plaintiffs, settlement eliminates uncertainty. A jury might award you $500,000, but they might also find for the defendant and award you nothing. It happens. Jurors bring their own biases into the courtroom, evidence can be excluded on technicalities, witnesses can perform poorly, and things outside anyone's control—like a juror's bad mood—can affect outcomes. Settlement removes all of that risk.
Settlement also provides faster resolution. Trials require preparation that can take months or years. Appeals can extend that timeline further. A settlement reached today means money in your hands within weeks, while a trial might not occur for another year—and a post-verdict appeal could add two or three more.
From the defendant's perspective, settlement eliminates the risk of a runaway verdict. Insurance companies are in the business of managing risk, and paying a known amount today is often preferable to gambling on what a jury might return. This creates space for negotiation that can produce outcomes acceptable to both sides.
When Settlement Makes Sense
Settlement is often the right choice when the offer adequately compensates you for your injuries, lost income, and suffering—and when the risks of trial are meaningful.
Adequacy is subjective but grounded in analysis. Your attorney should help you understand the range of likely outcomes at trial based on comparable cases, the strength of your evidence, the credibility of witnesses, and the tendencies of the likely venue. If a settlement offer falls within that range, it deserves serious consideration.
Risk factors that favor settlement include questionable liability (the defendant has plausible arguments that they weren't at fault), comparative negligence concerns (you may have contributed to your own injury, reducing your recovery), weak damages evidence (your injuries are real but hard to prove or quantify), problematic witnesses (your own testimony or that of a key witness may not hold up under cross-examination), and venue concerns (some Oklahoma counties are known for conservative verdicts).
Personal circumstances also matter. If you need money now—to pay medical bills, cover living expenses while you can't work, or simply move on with your life—the certainty of settlement has real value that a possible future verdict does not. Financial pressure is real, and there's no shame in weighing it.
When Trial Makes Sense
Trial is the right choice when the settlement offer is inadequate and your case is strong enough to justify the risk.
Inadequacy is often obvious. An insurance company offers $50,000 to settle a case where you've incurred $200,000 in medical bills and will need future care for life. No reasonable analysis could call that offer adequate. When the gap between the offer and fair compensation is large, trial may be the only way to achieve a just result.
Strong cases for trial typically have clear liability evidence, significant documented damages, credible plaintiffs who will present well to a jury, and egregious defendant conduct that may trigger juror outrage. Cases involving drunk drivers, companies that knowingly ignored safety hazards, or defendants who lied after the incident often perform well at trial because jurors want to punish bad behavior.
The makeup of the jury pool matters too. Some venues in Oklahoma have historically produced larger verdicts in personal injury cases; others are more conservative. Your attorney should know the tendencies of the county where your case would be tried and factor that into the analysis.
The Negotiation Process
Settlement rarely happens with a single offer. It's a process of negotiation that can take months.
Insurance companies typically start low—sometimes insultingly low. This is strategic, not accidental. They want to anchor the negotiation at a low number, test your resolve, and see if you'll accept less than your case is worth out of desperation or ignorance. A lowball opening offer does not mean fair settlement is impossible; it means negotiation is beginning.
Your attorney's response will typically be a demand far higher than what you'd accept. This creates space for movement. Over time, through exchanges of offers and demands, the parties often converge toward a range where settlement is possible.
Mediation is commonly used in personal injury cases. A neutral mediator—often a retired judge or experienced attorney—works with both sides to explore settlement. Mediation is not binding; you can reject any offer made there. But the process often breaks logjams and produces settlements that direct negotiation could not achieve.
The timing of negotiations matters. Cases often settle on the courthouse steps—in the days or weeks before trial is scheduled to begin. The looming trial date creates pressure on both sides to resolve the case. If you can tolerate that pressure and maintain your willingness to proceed, you often extract better offers than were available months earlier.
Evaluating the Settlement Offer
When an offer comes, step back and evaluate it systematically.
Calculate your actual damages: medical bills to date, future medical costs, lost wages, lost earning capacity, and non-economic damages like pain and suffering. Does the offer compensate you adequately for all of these? Factor in attorney's fees and costs that will be deducted from any recovery.
Consider your alternatives. If you reject this offer, what happens? More negotiation may yield a better offer—or it may not. Trial may produce a larger verdict—or you may lose. What are the realistic probabilities of each outcome?
Assess your personal situation. How much does certainty matter to you? How would you feel if you rejected this offer, went to trial, and lost? Could you accept that outcome emotionally and financially? What would you do with the money if you settled today versus waiting for an uncertain verdict years from now?
Talk honestly with your attorney about all of these factors. A good lawyer won't pressure you to settle just to collect a fee quickly, but will also tell you honestly if they think you're overvaluing your case and taking unreasonable risks by proceeding to trial.
What Happens at Trial
If you proceed to trial, understand what you're signing up for.
A jury trial typically takes several days. Both sides present opening statements, examine witnesses, introduce evidence, and deliver closing arguments. You will likely testify and be cross-examined by the defendant's attorney, who will try to undermine your credibility and minimize your injuries. This can be stressful, even traumatic.
The jury deliberates and returns a verdict. In Oklahoma civil cases, three-fourths of the jury (nine of twelve jurors) must agree. If they find for you, they assign a dollar amount to your damages. If they find for the defendant, you receive nothing.
Even after a verdict, the case may not be over. The losing side can file post-trial motions challenging the verdict. Either side can appeal. An appeal can take a year or more to resolve. If the defendant appeals a verdict in your favor, you may not see the money for another two or three years—and the appellate court could reduce or reverse the verdict.
The Psychology of the Decision
The choice between settlement and trial is partly rational and partly emotional. Acknowledge both aspects.
Many plaintiffs want their day in court. They want to tell their story, see the defendant exposed, and have a jury validate their suffering. This is understandable and legitimate. But if the only reason to reject a fair settlement is the emotional satisfaction of trial, you should consider whether that satisfaction is worth the risk of losing—and whether a settlement might provide its own form of closure.
Others are risk-averse. They cannot stomach the possibility of a defense verdict, even if the probability is low. For these plaintiffs, a reasonable settlement that guarantees compensation may be preferable to a larger expected value at trial with meaningful variance. Personal preferences about risk are valid inputs to the decision.
Anger at the defendant can cloud judgment. If your primary motivation is punishing the defendant rather than obtaining fair compensation, you may make decisions that hurt your own interests. Trials are uncertain, and even clearly wrongful conduct sometimes results in defense verdicts. A large settlement in hand may serve your actual interests better than a crusade for perfect justice.
Frequently Asked Questions
What percentage of personal injury cases go to trial?
Fewer than 5%, often closer to 2-3%. Most cases settle through negotiation or mediation. The small percentage that reach trial are typically cases where liability is disputed, damages are contested, or the parties' valuations are so far apart that settlement is impossible.
Can I change my mind after accepting a settlement?
Generally no. Once you sign a settlement agreement and release, it is binding. There is a brief period before signing where you can reconsider, and you should take whatever time you need to be certain. But after execution, the settlement is final with very limited exceptions (like fraud or duress).
How do I know if a settlement offer is fair?
Your attorney should provide analysis based on comparable verdicts and settlements, the strength of your evidence, and the specific circumstances of your case. There is no objective "fair" number—it's a range. An offer within the range of reasonable outcomes, given the risks of trial, is worth serious consideration.
Will the defendant's offer increase if I reject it?
Often yes, but not always. Negotiation typically involves multiple rounds of offers and counteroffers. Rejecting a low offer and demonstrating willingness to proceed toward trial often produces improved offers. But some defendants have firm limits, and some offers won't improve significantly no matter how long you hold out.
What if I need money now but the case isn't ready to settle?
Discuss options with your attorney. Pre-settlement funding is available, though it comes with significant costs. Your attorney may be able to negotiate an interim partial settlement. Medical providers may accept liens, delaying payment until settlement. There are often ways to manage immediate financial pressure without accepting an inadequate settlement.
How much do attorneys charge if we go to trial versus settling?
Most personal injury attorneys work on contingency, taking a percentage of recovery. Some fee agreements increase the percentage if the case goes to trial (for example, 33% if settled pre-litigation, 40% if tried). Understand your fee agreement and factor those costs into your settlement evaluation.
The decision to settle or try your case is one of the most significant choices you'll make in the litigation process. There's no universally right answer—only the right answer for your situation, based on your case facts, your financial circumstances, your risk tolerance, and your priorities.
At Addison Law, we believe in having honest conversations with our clients about the strengths and weaknesses of their cases. We'll tell you what we think your case is worth, what risks you face at trial, and what settlement range makes sense—and then we'll support whatever decision you make. Contact us to discuss your case.
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*This article is for general information only and is not legal advice.*
